North Carolina Votes for Change
Pat McCrory and GOP lawmakers asked North Carolina voters for the job of taking on the state's daunting challenges. The voters said yes.
Jim Martin's 55 percent victory in 1988 was the highest vote share any North Carolina Republican has ever won in a high-profile statewide election.
Walter Dalton, lagging badly in the polls, needed to attack. Check. Pat McCrory needed to project confidence and just let Dalton’s bait continue to bob in the water. Check.
While President Obama often looked as if he was underprepared for the presidential debate, Lt. Gov. Dalton was overprepared.
If Pat McCrory is elected governor of North Carolina, that will violate the “rule” that politicians from the Charlotte area can’t win statewide elections.
Running a more independent campaign might risk some intra-party tensions. But it would also have a better shot of putting the ball in the outfield – or in the stands.
If the presidential candidates shift their focus elsewhere, which now seems quite possible, voters will learn more about their candidates for governor. Good.
Dalton will never beat McCrory by trying to convince North Carolinians to stay the course. They don’t want to.
It looks like there will be at least three polling outfits regularly tracking voter opinion in North Carolina during the 2012 election cycle.
Just as Republicans shouldn’t have been fooling themselves before this week about McCrory being a shoo-in, Democrats shouldn’t be fooling themselves now.
Democrats may have left too many potentially competitive seats on the table to pose a realistic challenge to overturn the GOP’s legislative majorities.
If Democratic strategists come to the same conclusion in the coming months, they might well decide to shift their focus and resources to more promising opportunities.