Opinion
Why the NC GOP should cheer for 2024
How bizarre is it that in an extremely important and closely divided political state that BOTH major political parties can have “pretty good” election nights?
October 2024 – Trump and Harris in Dead Heat in North Carolina Battleground
RALEIGH – The race for president remains at a statistical tie in North Carolina, a key battleground state on the road to the White House. Former President Donald Trump (47.2%) is .6 points ahead of Vice President Kamala Harris (46.6%). The number of undecided voters has declined to 4.1%. Only 2% of voters say they...
Opinion
Presidential race tightens in NC
If candidates aren’t talking about how their proposed policies would make it easier for households to afford basic necessities, they’re making a big mistake.
August 2024 – With Harris as Presidential Nominee, Race Tightens in North Carolina
RALEIGH – The presidential race in North Carolina is tighter than ever, according to the latest poll of likely voters from The Carolina Journal. Former President Donald Trump is leading Vice President Kamala Harris by 3.1 points. This lead is within the margin of error of ±3.99%. Support for Trump is up 4.6 points from...
Opinion
New CJ poll shows politico photo finish in NC
Robinson needs a strong showing by Trump and the GOP overall to pull him over the line, or NC is likely to follow its familiar script of electing a Republican for president and a Democrat for governor.
Opinion
Poll: Lawfare backfires on Biden, as Trump stays strong in NC
On Trump’s New York criminal trial, 56% of voters believe the guilty verdict, along with the other charges against Trump, are politically motivated, while 40% disagree.
Opinion
Ticket-splitters could prove decisive
In polling averages, the former president leads by five to six points. Meanwhile, Stein and Robinson are running neck-and-neck.
Opinion
Can Biden truly contest North Carolina?
How can the Democratic Party hope to win North Carolina’s 16 electoral votes for president next year? Yes, North Carolina has been actively contested since 2008, when it went for Barack Obama by less than a percentage point. Since then, North Carolinians have opted for Republican candidates, albeit by narrow margins: two points in 2012,...
Opinion
Know your enemy (and quote them too)
During my formative years, the United States and the West in general was said to be locked in a “clash of civilizations” with the Islamic world, or at least radicals within it. Groups like Al Qaeda, the Taliban, Al Shabaab, Boko Haram, and later ISIS dominated the news. There was always a bombing, beheading, stoning,...
Opinion
Carolina Caught the Wave
The vulnerable Democratic congressmen who voted against ObamaCare won reelection. The vulnerable Democrat who voted for it was defeated. Pretty clear message there.
Opinion
No GOP Tsunami Required
If you measure the gains across seven wave elections, you will find average gains of two congressional seats, seven state senate seats, and 14 state house seats.
