Our electoral future remains unwritten
According to post-election surveys, true swing voters comprise about a fifth of the electorate in both North Carolina and the nation.
Mo Green, the Democratic candidate for state superintendent of public instruction, said at a public schools forum May 7 that he was motivated to run for the office due to concerns about the growth of school choice in North Carolina. But Green’s position appears to be at odds with many of the voters in his own party.
While US history has seen the rise and fall of a few major political parties, the current big two — Democrats and Republicans — have enjoyed a long stretch of dominance. But there are signs that things may be different in 2024. Institutions in general are struggling. As the book “Bowling Alone” by Robert Putnam...
Legislative Republicans sent a clear signal to the largest group of registered voters in the Tar Heel state, unaffiliated voters, that they are welcome to continue voting in Republican primary contests, now and forever more. Included in a recently passed election bill is a requirement that unaffiliated voters be allowed to vote in a political...
A new national poll from the pro-school choice organization the American Federation for Children shows most voters dislike politicians who deny school choice to other families while practicing it for their own. The poll of more than 2,000 registered voters found that 62% said they would be less likely to vote for a candidate who...
If a new poll from Emerson Polling is accurate, the Democratic Party has an edge over Republicans in upcoming elections. While FiveThirtyEight, a poll analysis website, gave Emerson a B+ in 2018, some have questioned the reliability of the polling group. Nate Cohn, a reporter for The New York Times, tweeted that Emerson Polling shouldn’t...
In the past eight years, Democratic registration in North Carolina has dropped by about 128,000 voters while Republicans have gained 124,000 voters during the same period.
Republican candidates have to win a sizable majority of unaffiliated and mildly Democratic voters to be competitive.
Concerns about a lack of unaffiliated voters on the new State Board of Elections and Ethics Enforcement ignores the fact that there is no Unaffiliated Party in North Carolina, and unaffiliateds aren't represented on election boards now.
A fair reading of the data would be that a large share of unaffiliated voters in North Carolina — perhaps a third or more — are in practice Republican voters.