Unaffiliated voters hold the key
Republican candidates have to win a sizable majority of unaffiliated and mildly Democratic voters to be competitive.
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Tag:Donald Trump
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Close partisan divide will persist
If you subtract voter preference for Democrats from voter preference for Republicans, only nine states — including North Carolina — have values no greater than two percentage points.
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Midterm spread favors the Democrats
In the modern era, the party not in the White House has almost always gained seats in the North Carolina legislature in midterm elections.
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Politics isn’t always the answer
What ought to worry North Carolina leaders, regardless of party or ideology, is that the labor market and other indicators are suggesting a recent weakening of the state’s economic momentum.
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Political rhetoric affects trade views
During the Bush presidency, Republicans were more supportive of free-trade agreements than Democrats were. The opposite was true during the Obama presidency.
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Tax cuts are not self-financing
While North Carolina’s GOP leaders may share a party label with Kansas Republicans or the Trump administration, their approach to fiscal policy has been quite different.
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Seeking protection, rather than competition
Americans are upset. Some are just mildly unhappy, others seem miserable, many are plain mad. A NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll reports that more than half have believed the country is “on the wrong track” in every month since February 2005. A Pew survey reveals most of us have been…
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Both parties face age barriers
Rather than extrapolating a few statistical trends into the future and then waiting for political prizes to fall into their laps, successful candidates will take nothing for granted.
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Swing voters aren’t all alike
Think of the Democrats and Republicans as competing teams that pool together the varying talents, resources, and energies of players, coaches, support staff, and fans.
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Political ads remain key tool
During the homestretch, 70 percent of TV ads supporting Donald Trump were about policy, compared to only 25 percent of the ads supporting Hillary Clinton.